FA Cup Opta Stats: Stoke won't net or draw at Chelsea

Betting Tips | Article posted on January 23rd, 2025

“Chelsea have won their last six at Stamford Bridge against the Potters, keeping a clean sheet in their last five.”Best Bet: Back Chelsea to win to nil against Stoke @ 2.111/10

After studying Opta’s facts and figures, Michael Lintorn is seduced by four FA Cup fourth round bets…
Bournemouth v Liverpool (Saturday, 12:45, ITV)Bournemouth have only kept one clean sheet in 13 previous FA Cup fourth round games (excluding replays), conceding 36They key insight from the stat above isn’t that Bournemouth might not shut Liverpool out, but that they leak almost three goals a match at this stage of the competition (2.77). The Reds are above evens to lift that average higher, despite clearly having the form to. They have fired three or more past three of their last six Premier League hosts, including top-four rivals Everton and recommended Bet: Back Liverpool to score three or more goals @ 2.166/5
Huddersfield v Charlton (Saturday, 15:00)These two sides have met in both cups since last January, with Huddersfield winning both their League Cup meeting this term and an FA Cup clash in 2025/13This encounter lacks the profile of others in this column, but has one of the most compelling trends. Huddersfield’s control of this fixture extends to the Championship too, triumphing 2-1 in September, so that they have won their most recent collisions in three competitions. The Terriers have excelled against teams 18th or lower this season, their six wins in eight a major reason why they are clear of the drop recommended Bet: Back Huddersfield to win @ 1.9520/21
Man City v Watford (Saturday, 15:00)The Citizens are unbeaten in six home meetings with Watford, winning five, drawing one and scoring exactly three in each victoryIt requires an eyebrow-raising pattern to convince some punters to venture into the correct score market, and Opta have hit upon one. Four Man City clean sheets in five, as well as three in four at home, offer a strong indication that Watford’s contribution to the scoreline will be zero, as it was in six of their last ten Championship games. If the Man City firing three streak holds out, we’re onto a recommended Bet: Back Man City to win 3-0 @ 7.413/2
Chelsea v Stoke (Sunday, 15:30, ITV)The Blues have won their last six at Stamford Bridge against the Potters, keeping a clean sheet in their last fiveOne of the bleakest moments of Jose Mourinho’s second coming was the 3-2 loss to Stoke. However, swift revenge appears likely given their improvement since, winning eight and drawing two of their next ten matches (in 90 minutes), shutting out the opposition six times. Stoke have scored once in their last five away trips, so expect Chelsea’s win to nil stranglehold at home

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