Opta Big Match Stats: The trends that say Man United will lose

Betting Tips | Article posted on March 24th, 2025

“Man City average 3.2 goals in Sergio Aguero's 17 PL matches this season, compared to 2.0 without him.”Best Bet: Back Man City to score two or more goals @ 2.01/1

Opta’s insights point firmly in the direction of Man City completing a second derby double in three seasons…
Man United v Man City, Tuesday 19:45, Sky Sports 1, Match Odds: Man United 3.55/2, Man City 2.226/5, The Draw 3.711/4
Man City have won four and lost one of the last five Premier League meetings with Man United
Manuel Pellegrini’s men bossed the first derby of 2025/14, romping to a 4-1 victory, and have won on their last two trips to Old Trafford, scoring eight times in the process. There are numerous other Opta stats that suggest that Man United are at risk of another scarring result. They have lost as often at home in the league this term (five) as in the three that preceded it combined, suffering defeat in all four north west derbies. Additionally, Man City are unbeaten in eight on their league travels.
Recommended Bet: Back Man City to win @ 2.226/5
Man City average 3.2 goals in Sergio Aguero’s 17 PL matches this season, compared to 2.0 without him
This statistic showcases how much fiercer Man City’s attack is with Kun available, but 2.0 is a more than acceptable average in his absence. There are also signs that they are getting increasingly adept at delivering without him. The first two encounters of his latest treatment room tenure have seen Man City score seven without reply. In total, the Argentine has missed seven Premier League or Champions League away dates in 2025/14, and his side scored two or more in six of those clashes.
Best Bet: Back Man City to score two or more goals @ 2.01/1
Yaya Toure has scored with nine of his 11 dead ball shots this season (five penalties, four direct free-kicks)
The Ivorian climbed to third in the Premier League scoring charts and to the top of the Man City standings with his weekend hat-trick against Fulham, while his aforementioned set-piece accuracy renders it surprising that he hasn’t been given more opportunities from just outside the box. Toure is also a proven big-match performer, leaving his mark on Arsenal, Tottenham and the Capital One Cup final among others this campaign in addition to having netted in three prior Manchester derbies.
Recommended Bet: Back Toure to score @ 3.55/2

This article is provided courtesy of BetFair.com

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